The So-Called Wars of Religion

Very often you hear people talking about wars of religion, for both the wars of the 20th and the 21st centuries. I would like to give some examples about why it is very wrong to describe these wars as wars of religion. At the following map I have marked with red the West Central Asia, a region predominantly Muslim, which came under Russian control in the 19th century, and remained under Russian control until the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. East Central Asia, also a region with Muslim majority, today called the Xin Jiang Province of China, came under Chinese control and remains under Chinese control to this very day. The Turkish nationalists call Xin Jiang “East Turkestan” and consider it as a region that should be under Turkish influence, as the rest of Central Asia should be according to them.

Map 1

Religious Wars.JPG

At the map you can also see with green another predominantly Muslim region, which was controlled by the Ottomans until the First World War 1914-1918, when it came under British and French control, after the Ottoman defeat.

What we observe during the 20th and 21st century wars is that the Russian Christians supported the Muslims to drive away from the Middle East the English and French Christians. We also observe the English and the French Christians, and also the American Christians, supporting the Muslims of Pakistan and Afghanistan in order to drive away from Central Asia the Russian Christians. In all that we cannot see wars of religion. We can only see wars between the West and the Soviet Union. But if we do not look at the big picture, and we focus on regional wars, we might think that this is about wars of religion.

Today we might once more think that we are dealing with wars of religion, but that’s not true either. For instance Russia, France, England and Germany might have started aligning against Turkey, which is the greatest military power of the Muslim world, but the United States, a Christian country, is a Turkish ally.

It is true that the Americans and the Turks have many problems in Syria and Iraq. In Syria the Americans support the Kurds of Syria and the Turks the Sunni Arabs of Syria. In Iraq the Americans support the Shiite Arabs and the Kurds, while the Turks support the Sunni Arabs of Iraq i.e. the people of Saddam Hussein. But the Americans and the Turks remain united against Russia.

At the following map you can see the Sunni, Shiite (Shia), Alawite and Kurdish parts of Syria and Iraq.

Map 2 Alawites, Sunnis, Shiite (Shia) and Kurds of Syria and Iraq

Map Sunni Shiite Kurdish Iraq and Syria.JPG

Some analysts predict that the Americans might have to cooperate with Russia in the future, because all of the US allies in Europe are already doing it to some extent. This might happen in the future, but that’s not what we see for now. Note that the cooperation between Russia, France, Germany and England is not a true alliance. They are just cooperating against Turkey and ISIS even though they have many differences among them.

For all of us who live in Europe, especially the ones living near Turkey, today’s wars might again seem like wars of religion. But also note that the European left is aligned with the Islamists today. See Jeremy Corbyn in England (Labour Party), Pablo Iglesias in Spain (Podemos), Alexis Tsipras in Greece (SYRIZA) and many others. After the collapse of the Soviet Union most of the leftists turned to the Islamists. Actually the Islamists pay better than the Soviets used to.

Note that Islamic countries i.e. countries where the Koran is the law, fall into two categories i.e. the Islamic Monarchies and the Islamic Republics. Islamic Monarchies are countries where the Koran is the law and they have kings (monarchs) as their leaders. Islamic Republics are the equivalent of the communist countries in the Muslim World. Communist countries are called Democratic Republics or People’s Republics, and the equivalent in the Muslim world is the so called “Islamic Republic”. Communism almost bans religion and communism is normally not very welcome in the Muslim World.

People’s Republics and Islamic Republics have almost the same economic models, but the Koran is the law of the Islamic Republic, while religion is almost non existent in the People’s Republics, where the law is the General Secretary of the Communist Party. Saudi Arabia, Qatar, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait etc are Islamic Monarchies, and Iran, Pakistan and Sudan are Islamic Republics. Note that Turkey is in the process of becoming an Islamic Republic. The Turkish Islamists came to power in 2003, and they are gradually moving Turkey from a secular state to an Islamic Republic.

Today the communist leaders are cooperating very well with Islamists leaders. I have mentioned before that a Greek Member of Parliament, Kostas Zouraris, an ex-member of the Greek Communist Party, and currently a member of the governing coalition, clearly supported the Jihadists who carried out the terrorist attacks in Paris (November 2015). Kostas Zouraris called the Jihadists fighters of freedom and dignity who fight against the French colonialists. All European communists would agree with him, even though they would not openly admit it.

Before the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, communists would normally support socialist terrorists who were trained by Muammar Gaddafi in Libya, Hafez Assad in Syria, Saddam Hussein in Iraq, Yasser Arafat in West Bank and Gaza, Fidel Castro in Cuba etc. But now European communists also support terrorists who are trained by Islamic countries. It does not even have to be Islamic Republics, it might as well be Islamic monarchies. For example Qatar, an Islamic Monarchy with great influence on European left, is a famous supporter of Islamist terrorists.

The thing is that communists and Islamists see us in exactly the same way. They believe that our countries are not really countries but a sum of corporations, and that we are so corrupted and greedy that we would even be willing to sell our own mothers for money. Nothing from what I say seems to be a war of religion. The main elements are always the economic and the cultural ones.

 

India VS China

The 46 billion dollars that China will invest in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor include the investment for the Chinese naval base in the Pakistani port of Gwadar at the Indian Ocean. The Chinese naval bases in the Indian Ocean will make China a two ocean super power, and will allow her together with her ally Pakistan to encircle India.

India on the other hand is trying to respond by encircling China with her defense cooperation with Vietnam, Indonesia, Australia, Japan and South Korea.

Map 1 India VS China

Map of India Japan.JPG

 

India also has the advantage that she has not broken her alliance with Russia, her traditional ally since the Soviet era, even though India has greatly improved her relations with the US in order to face China as a common rival. Therefore it would be difficult for Russia to intervene in the Chinese-Indian rivalry, while this is not the case for the United States, because China and the United States are confronting each other at the South China Sea.

China claims most of the South China Sea for herself. The Malacca Straits at the South China Sea are considered as one of the most important energy choke points in the world, since a huge amount of energy and tradable goods pass from it every day.

Map 2 Energy Choke Points

Energy Cholkpoints.JPG

Articles

“The Keys to Closer India-Japan Ties After Abe’s Successful Visit”, January 2016

http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/17805/the-keys-to-closer-india-japan-ties-after-abe-s-successful-visit

“India’s Strategic Vietnam Defense Relations”, November 2014

http://thediplomat.com/2014/11/indias-strategic-vietnam-defense-relations/

“India, Indonesia to Cooperate on Maritime Security, Defense Procurement”, August 2015

http://thediplomat.com/2015/08/india-indonesia-to-cooperate-on-maritime-security-defense-procurement/

“Australia, India step up defence ties”, September 2015

http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2015/09/03/australia-india-step-defence-ties

“Pakistan hands management of strategic Gwadar port to China”, February 2013

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pakistan-port-idUSBRE91H0IU20130218

“South Korea and India to boost defence ties, infrastructure finance”, May 2015

http://in.reuters.com/article/southkorea-india-modi-visit-idINKBN0O30VO20150518

China in Afghanistan (Deutsche Welle)

A very nice article by the German state-owned news agency Deutsche Welle, about China’s role in Afghanistan. According to Deutsche Welle China did not attack the Taliban in Afghanistan on the side of the United States, but she has made great efforts in order for a truce to be reached between the Taliban and the Afghan government. The main reason China is interested in Afghanistan is because she does not want ISIS to get a foothold in Afghanistan, because that would allow ISIS to support the separatists Uyghurs in China’s XinJiang province. As you can see at the following map China and Afghanistan have common borders. Actually the borders of the other Central Asian countries with China are not very secure, and ISIS could also use these countries to enter China.

Map 1 China-Afghanistan

Map of Afghanistan.JPG

Also note that the Sunni Islamist organization East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) is operating in XinJiang, and it is mainly supported by Turkey. As you can read at the following BBC article there is tension between Turkey and China over the very large Muslim population of XinJiang. See “China-Turkey relationship strained over Uyghurs”, July 2015.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-33440998

I have already said that what Turkey really wants is that China heavily invests in Turkey, so that in return Turkey will use her influence over the Uyghurs and ETIM to keep the XinJiang province calm. According to Deutsche Welle many Uyghurs use fake Turkish passports to enter Pakistan and Afghanistan in order to receive military training in the Islamic military camps that operate in these countries, and which are mainly funded with Saudi money according to Deutsche Welle.

I have many times referred to the Arab and Iranian effort to block the TAPI (Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India) Pipeline, promoted by Turkmenistan and India and supported by the United States. TAPI is for Central Asia what the Trans-Saharan Pipeline is for North Africa, and what the Qatar-Turkey and the Iran-Iraq-Syria pipelines are for the Middle East.

Map 2 TAPI

TAPI.JPG

Deutsche Welle also mentions that the Uyghours believe that China is undermine their religion and culture, and that she also exploits their natural resources. As you can see at the following Wikipedia map XinJiang is among the richest, if not the richest in oil region of China.

Map 3 China’s Oil Reserves

Map of China's Oil Reserves.JPG

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/b/bb/China-Today_oil_reserves_and_demand-en.svg/2000px-China-Today_oil_reserves_and_demand-en.svg.png

The article also mentions that China is promoting peace in Afghanistan due to the 46 billion dollar agreements she has signed with Pakistan for the China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), but also due to the 10 billion dollar agreement between China and the Afghan government for the extraction of Afghan copper, which has not materialized until now due to security concerns.

I must also say that Xin Jiang is very important for China because she borders 8 countries, as you can see at the following Britannica map. Since the ancient years and the ancient Silk Roads XinJiang was very important for China, because underneath XinJiang lie the inaccessible and hostile Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau, which are the natural borders between China and India.

Map 4 XinJiang

Map of XinJiang Britanicca.JPG

http://media.web.britannica.com/eb-media/88/64288-004-91040875.gif

Map 5 Himalayas-Tibet

tibet

http://tibet.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/07/20120703-norbu_figure_1_tibet_the_third_pole.jpg

Map 6 Tibet-XinJiang

Map of Tibet Xin Jiang Map.JPG

http://www.tibettravelplanner.com/assets/images/Maps/tibet-location-map.jpg

At the southern part of XinJiang lies the Taklamakan Desert. At the following map I have marked with red the Tibetan Plateau and with black the Taklamakan Desert.

Map 6 Tibet-Taklamakan Desert

Map of Tibet and the Desert.JPG

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silk_Road#/media/File:Zheng_He.png

At the following Wikipedia map you can see the ancient Silk Roads, and as you can see they pass above the Himalayas and Tibet. The Silk Roads were passing both underneath and above the Taklamakan Desert.

Map 7 Ancient Silk Roads

Map of Silk Roads.JPG

seehttps://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/74/Silk_route.jpg

Map 8 Taklamakan Desert

Map of Taklamakan Desert.JPG

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taklamakan_Desert#/media/File:Tarimrivermap.png

 

For the Deutsche Welle article see:

“What does China want from the Afghan peace process”?, January 2016

8th, 9th Paragraph

Siegfried O. Wolf, director of research at the Brussels-based South Asia Democratic Forum (SADF), said the claims by some Chinese sources that Uighur militants use fake Turkish passports to enter Afghanistan and Pakistan to join extremist groups makes Beijing increasingly concerned about the long war in Afghanistan.

“In the Afghan and Pakistani camps, which are heavily funded by Saudi Arabia, Uighurs receive ideological indoctrination as well as military training,” said the analyst.

12th Paragraph

China has also signed multibillion dollar deals with Afghanistan, some of which involve the extraction of copper from the Mes Aynak mine in Logar Province – believed to be worth $10 billion. State-owned company China Metallurgical Group Corporation acquired the extraction rights of the mine in 2007 for $3.5 billion (2.6 billion euros), but the project has never actually kicked off given the deteriorating security situation and poor infrastructure in Afghanistan.

http://www.dw.com/en/what-does-china-want-from-the-afghan-peace-process/a-19011501?maca=en-newsletter_asia_taeglich-5132-html-newsletter

 

The Geopolitics of the Sunni World

The most important countries of the Sunni Muslim World are Turkey, as the Muslim country with the strongest army, Saudi Arabia, as the richest in oil Muslim country, Egypt, as the largest and strongest Arab country, Pakistan, as the only Muslim nuclear power, and Indonesia, as the largest Muslim country in the world, with 250 million inhabitants.

Map

Map of Sunni World Final.JPG

Egypt, Turkey and Russia are the three connections between Europe and Asia (Silk Roads). Egypt’s greatest enemy is Turkey, and Egypt were under Turkish control during the last centuries. Turkey’s greatest enemy is Russia, which is the country that can really challenge Turkey. Saudi Arabia was normally under Turkish control, and emerged as a great Sunni power when her huge oil reserves were discovered in 1938.

Saudi Arabia would like to claim a Silk Road that would lead her to the Mediterranean Sea through Jordan and Israel, but Egypt and Turkey are militarily stronger and would never allow that to happen, unless Saudi Arabia was prepared to pay significant commissions. Saudi Arabia’s greatest enemy is Iran, which is Saudi Arabia’ competitor in the oil markets of Asia. Iran also has a great geographical advantage, because Iran can connect to Europe and Asia through pipelines i.e. through Turkey and Pakistan, while the Saudis cannot do that. Actually they could but it is much easier for the Iranians.

Map

Map of Sunni World Final.JPG

Pakistan is a highly corrupted Islamic country, and its greatest enemy is India. Pakistan and China jointly fight India.

Indonesia’s greatest enemy is China, because China claims most of the South China Sea.

Important countries of the Sunni World are also Libya and Algeria. Since the war between Algeria and France was over, Morocco has been Algeria’s number one enemy. Algeria is in favor of independence of the rich in gas West Sahara, currently controlled by Morocco. The Algerian-Moroccan borders have been closed for many years.

Libya’s number one enemy was France, at least during Muammar Gaddafi’s rule, due to the great French influence in West Africa. Gaddafi thought that West Africa belonged to his sphere of influence and always challenged France. Algeria has stronger economic ties with France and Libya has stronger economic ties with Italy.

Germany VS Poland

The Nord Stream 2 Pipeline promoted by Germany and Russia means a great deal in lost revenue for Poland, in the form of lost transit fees, and as a result the German-Polish relations are collapsing, especially after the election in Poland of the nationalist socialist party of PiS. Poland was already hurt from the construction of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline, and Nord Stream 2 will only make things worse.

Map 1

Germany Poland.JPG

Map 2

Map of Gazprom Pipelines.JPG

seehttp://www.energypost.eu/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/agata-map.jpg

“German-Polish relations are in free fall”, January 2016

http://www.dw.com/en/opinion-german-polish-relations-are-in-free-fall/a-18972591

France+Iran

After the deterioration of the Saudi-American relations, the Saudis had to further strengthen their relations with France, in an effort to find a new patron. The Saudis had no other choice because Russia is competing with Saudi Arabia in the oil markets, and China has stronger relations wth Iran than with Saudi Arabia.

Map 1

Map Russia Iran.JPG

As you can read at the following article from the state-owned French news agency France 24, after the lifting of the economic sanctions against Iran, the Iranians ordered 118 French Airbus worth 23 billion euros. That does not mean that the French will stop being closer to the Arabs than the Iranians, but it will definitely have consequences.

Note that after the Arab Spring broke out in Syria in 2011 the French were the strongest ally of the Arabs in their efforts to move from power Bashar al Assad, who is the strongest ally of Iran in the Middle East. In 2011 France, together with the US, Turkey and the Arabs of the Gulf were in favour of a military intervention in Syria, while Russia, Germany and Iran were against.

After the 23 billion dollar deal with Iran the French will keep supporting the Arabs of the Persian Gulf, but they might be less aggressive towards Bashar al Assad.

Articles

“France, Iran announce €23 billion Airbus deal”, January 2016

http://www.france24.com/en/20160128-france-iran-agree-deals-airbus-peugeot-rohani-visit

“François Hollande of France Says Assad Must Go”, September 2015

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/29/world/europe/france-francois-hollande-united-nations-general-assembly.html?_r=0

“Germany’s Merkel sees need to cooperate with Russia on Syria”, September 2015

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-germany-idUSKCN0RC0LM20150912

Islamic and Socialist Corruption : Two of a Kind

Putin’s son in law received 1.75 billion dollars in loans from state owned Russian banks. See Yahoo. In Turkey, Erdogan’s son in law was appointed Minister of Energy. See Yahoo. That’s the definition of socialist and islamist corruption.

Putin Erdgoan

Articles

“Putin’s son-in-law boosted by $1.75 billion Russian state loan”, January 2016

http://news.yahoo.com/putins-son-law-boosted-1-75-billion-russian-172715887–sector.html

“Erdogan son-in-law wins key post in new Turkey cabinet”, November 2015

http://news.yahoo.com/turkey-reveals-cabinet-erdogan-son-law-key-post-152529657.html